Theresa May promises MPs she won't stand in next general election

Theresa May promises MPs she won't stand in next general election

Kerry Wise
December 14, 2018

Because just when the prime minister truly needs to get her party together, its rival tribes might be now set on a course to pull her - and themselves - apart.

Sterling gained the most in more than a month in the run-up to Wednesday's vote, but failed to build upon that strength after Conservative Party lawmakers voted 200 to 117 to keep May as party leader. As I pointed out yesterday, numerous backbenchers in her party likely feared that the next person to take up residence at 10 Downing Street might be even worse.

That's a nasty reality check, but the truth is that nobody with any amount of sanity probably wants to be stuck with handling Brexit at this point. The biggest flaw in this option is the required "free movement" of people, which basically makes it a non starter.

According to the BBC's Brussels Correspondent Adam Fleming, "EU leaders are considering a commitment to continue negotiating a trade deal with the United Kingdom even if the Irish backstop comes into force - to prove that they want it to be temporary".

The Prime Minister will address EU leaders at the two-day European Council.

He added: "Contacts from constituents this morning are running at close to 95% in favour of the Prime Minister".

According to the Huffington Post, a senior Labour source has said discussions are taking place with the Tories" "confidence and supply' partners, the DUP, as the opposition seeks to topple May before parliament breaks for Christmas next week.

"We won't be able to do genuine changes". But it really has.

"That is why I have not called for her resignation, and do not intend on doing so". Angry Brexiteers can't try to move her out for another year in the same way.

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"While I'm grateful for that support, a significant number of colleagues did cast a vote against me, and I have listened to what they said".

None of the Prime Minister's critics took the opportunity to attack her, while there was strong support from backbenchers including Neil O'Brien, who condemned "headbangers from all sides" for undermining her.

Those who were pushing to force her out on Wednesday simply won't give up.

The no-confidence vote was initiated by staunchly anti-EU MPs in May's party.

The more independent-minded i commuter newspaper said May received a "stay of execution".

Mrs May's victory in the vote means that another challenge can not be mounted against her position as Tory leader for a year. That's well after Brexit should be over (one way or the other) so a replacement Tory PM isn't going to happen in that fashion. "She is in office, but not in power". However, because their party was decimated in the 2015 general election, they have but 11 MPs, and therefore comparatively less influence.

The other possible route is what BBC analysts are already calling "the nuclear option". Nevertheless, the path to another referendum, which requires a change of government to get the necessary legislation through Parliament (and perhaps to ask for an extension to the Article 50 negotiating process) now looks trickier, because Theresa May has become that little more hard to dislodge.

But if May's deal fails in parliament and Brexit is not delayed, then Britain could be heading towards a disorderly exit that investors fear will clog the arteries of trade, dislocate supply chains and roil markets.

"The only way out of this mess is for the PM to show real leadership by calling a People's Vote, and letting the public choose between this Brexit chaos and uncertainty or stability under the best deal we already have as a member of the European Union". It's a flawless Brussels "fudge" in that it allows them to satisfy their own commitments, while simultaneously pulling something out of the hat to allow May to get the deal across the line.