Alberto's track still puts Gulf Coast in its path

Alberto's track still puts Gulf Coast in its path

Kerry Wise
May 27, 2018

A gradual strengthening was expected as the storm moves north.

The storm has maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour. The subtropical storm moving north-northeast at 7 miles per hour with a minimum pressure of 1005 mb.

The Big Bend coast, including Indian Pass east to Horseshoe Beach, is under a Storm Surge Watch. Clusters of thunderstorms with heavy rain are now aiming at the western two-thirds of Cuba, and making for a wet South Florida.

A storm surge watch has been posted for parts of the coastal region from eastern Louisiana to the Panhandle of Florida.

Officials in Northwest Florida are closely monitoring the storm, but no special preparations had been made as of Friday afternoon. "This storm is expected to bring torrential rain and significant flooding in communities across Florida".

Stay clear of beaches since rip currents and strong waves are likely. The subtropical storm will move into the Gulf of Mexico today.

Baron’s Hurricane Index shows areas of favorable and unfavorable conditions for development
Baron’s Hurricane Index shows areas of favorable and unfavorable conditions for development

But the heavy rain that will accompany Alberto could test the metro area's drainage systems for the second time in about a week.

Forecast models are not yet in agreement on the storm's track and intensity, and the National Hurricane Center is averaging the models to predict a landfall somewhere between Pascagoula and Destin, Florida.

Part of the Tampa Bay area is under a tropical storm watch as Subtropical Storm Alberto continues to make its way into the Gulf of Mexico. For now, the storm is too large and ungainly to accurately predict where it's heading, but South Florida could get some massive rainfall. Some locations, especially southwest Florida, the Florida Keys and the Gulf Coast, will receive even heavier rain, with isolated totals of 6 to 10 inches possible. A Flood Watch is in effect for much of the holiday weekend.

As we have seen in years past, environmental conditions sometimes allow for development before the hurricane season begins.

Saturation from previous rain on the Gulf Coast has created a danger of falling trees with the upcoming wind. Since May 14, most of Marion County has racked up 9.29 inches of rain, about 7 inches above normal, and most of Alachua County has tallied about 5.38 inches, or about 3.5 inches above normal for May.

The first named tropical weather system of the 2018 hurricane season has formed.

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